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Deal or no deal (TV show)

By Baker Jeff | April 30, 2008

(I’ve watched it before a couple times)… and don’t understand why people who got a ‘deal’ for anything over 100,000 didn’t take it. So I researched the probability to conclude my theory…

At the beginning of Deal or No Deal, the contestant is presented with 26 suitcases that contain the amounts shown in the image above, and the expected value can be calculated from the following equation:

If no cases have been opened, then this value computes to approximately $131,477.54.

-WORD

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